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期待低碳技術(shù)帶來(lái)的意想不到的破壞力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology 期待低碳技術(shù)帶來(lái)的意想不到的破壞力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology

期待低碳技術(shù)帶來(lái)的意想不到的破壞力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology

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  • 更新時(shí)間：2021-09-09
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實(shí)現氣候穩定需要全球能源部門(mén)進(jìn)行深入而廣泛的變革。然而，化石燃料行業(yè)的預測繼續顯示，未來(lái)的能源系統與今天的變化不大。盡管低碳轉型對能源行業(yè)造成了破壞。這個(gè)情景分析是由碳跟蹤系統和倫敦帝國理工學(xué)院的格蘭瑟姆研究所合作完成的，并探討了太陽(yáng)能光伏發(fā)電(PV)和電動(dòng)汽車(chē)(ev)對未來(lái)煤炭、石油和天然氣需求的影響程度。本研究的結果應激勵能源公司及其投資者停止使用“照常營(yíng)業(yè)”(BAU)方案，并進(jìn)一步整合對下行需求方案的考慮。

Achieving climate stability will require deep and widespread changes in the global energy sector. Fossil fuel industry projections, however, continue to show a future energy system with few changes to that of today. This is in spite of examples of disruption in the energy sector at the hands of the low-carbon transition. This scenario analysis was produced in partnership between Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London and explores the extent to which ongoing cost reductions could see solar photovoltaics (PV) and electric vehicles (EVs) impact future demand for coal, oil and gas. The fndings of this study should motivate energy companies and their investors to retire the use of business as usual (BAU) scenarios and further integrate the consideration of downside demand scenarios.

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